Thursday, January 29, 2009

the boy who cried wolf

Who is the best free agent starting pitcher available?

This is a question fans of any team, maybe not Yankees, should be considering. After CC Sabathia, AJ Burnett, and Ryan Dempster, of the next four best starting pitchers: Derek Lowe, Oliver Perez, Jon Garland, and Randy Wolf, who should your team sign?

I believe Wolf to be the best value.

Here are the pitcher's specs:
Derek Lowe (36, 221 inn, 3.24 ERA, 6.27 K/9, 1.9 BB/9, 14 HRs)
Oliver Perez (27, 194 inn, 4.22 ERA, 8.35 K/9, 4.87 BB/9, 24 HRs)
Jon Garland (29, 196.7 inn, 4.90 ERA, 4.12 K/9, 2.70 BB/9, 23 HRs)
Randy Wolf (32, 190.3 inn, 4.30 ERA, 7.66 K/9, 3.36 BB/9, 21 HRs)

Lowe was obviously the most productive, but he was also the oldest. Perez threw the most heat, but he was also the most inconsistent, based on K/9 and BB/9. Garland played for the best team, but was the least productive, individually. Wolf, however, is younger than Lowe, more consistent than Perez, and played well for two average teams (Padres and Astros). Also I believe Wolf would be cheaper than Lowe or Perez, leaving more money for other areas of need.

Randy Wolf would provide a solid second, third, or fourth starter on any team. He's not an ace, a quality which I believe Derek Lowe lacks as well, but he will be more consistent and cheaper than the alternatives left on the market.

The buzz is that he will sign with the Dodgers in the near future. So, LA fans will have something to take their minds of the "Dread-locked One."


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